Tokio Marine Holdings Stock Performance

TKOMF Stock  USD 36.71  1.63  4.25%   
Tokio Marine has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 2.6, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tokio Marine will likely underperform. Tokio Marine Holdings right now has a risk of 5.93%. Please validate Tokio Marine treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to decide if Tokio Marine will be following its existing price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tokio Marine Holdings are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak primary indicators, Tokio Marine may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow924.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-665.4 B
Free Cash Flow1.1 T
  

Tokio Marine Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,781  in Tokio Marine Holdings on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (110.00) from holding Tokio Marine Holdings or give up 2.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. Tokio Marine Holdings is currently producing 0.124% returns and takes up 5.928% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 53% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Tokio, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokio Marine is expected to generate 7.89 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Tokio Marine Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Tokio Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.71 90 days 36.71 
about 61.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokio Marine to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.17 (This Tokio Marine Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tokio Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.6 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tokio Marine will likely underperform. Additionally Tokio Marine Holdings has an alpha of 0.0604, implying that it can generate a 0.0604 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tokio Marine Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tokio Marine

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokio Marine Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.7936.7142.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9730.8936.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.5437.4643.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.7138.0141.31
Details

Tokio Marine Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokio Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokio Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokio Marine Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokio Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.60
σ
Overall volatility
2.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Tokio Marine Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokio Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokio Marine Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tokio Marine had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Tokio Marine Holdings has accumulated 219.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Tokio Marine Holdings has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokio Marine until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokio Marine's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokio Marine Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokio Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Tokio Marine Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokio Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokio Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokio Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding677.8 M
Dividends Paid151.6 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.78

Tokio Marine Fundamentals Growth

Tokio Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Tokio Marine, and Tokio Marine fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Tokio Pink Sheet performance.

About Tokio Marine Performance

By analyzing Tokio Marine's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Tokio Marine's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Tokio Marine has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Tokio Marine has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. engages in the non-life and life insurance, and financial and general businesses in Japan and internationally. Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Tokio Marine operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 43048 people.

Things to note about Tokio Marine Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokio Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Tokio Marine Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tokio Marine had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Tokio Marine Holdings has accumulated 219.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.06, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Tokio Marine Holdings has a current ratio of 0.64, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tokio Marine until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tokio Marine's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tokio Marine Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tokio to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tokio Marine's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating Tokio Marine's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Tokio Marine's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Tokio Marine's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Tokio Marine's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Tokio Marine's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Tokio Marine's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Tokio Marine's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Tokio Marine's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Tokio Marine's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Tokio Marine's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Tokio Marine's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Tokio Pink Sheet analysis

When running Tokio Marine's price analysis, check to measure Tokio Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tokio Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Tokio Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tokio Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tokio Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tokio Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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